Discovery and Visualization of Nonstationary Causal Models

Oct 4 (Tuesday) at Noon GHC-8102

Speaker: Kun Zhang

Abstract: It is commonplace to encounter nonstationary data, of which the underlying generating process may change over time or across domains. The nonstationarity presents both challenges and opportunities for causal discovery. In this paper we propose a principled framework to handle nonstationarity, and develop methods to address three important questions. First, we propose an enhanced constraint-based method to detect variables whose local mechanisms are nonstationary and recover the skeleton of the causal structure over observed variables. Second, we present a way to determine some causal directions by taking advantage of information carried by changing distributions. Third, we develop a method for visualizing the nonstationarity of local mechanisms. Experimental results on various synthetic and real-world datasets are presented to demonstrate the efficacy of our methods. Relevant paper: https://arxiv.org/abs/1509.08056